One number, 0–100, answering one question: if this stock is being hyped, how much of the setup looks like a trap for whoever buys the hype? Higher means more trap risk. It is a risk read, not a prediction.
How fast the crowd is arriving, measured against the size of the crowd that was already there: message velocity per watcher on social feeds, how one-sided the sentiment is, and whether the name is trending. A stock everyone already owns being loud is normal; a tiny name suddenly getting hundreds of messages an hour is late-cycle attention.
How far and how fast the price has moved relative to its own history: multi-session return z-scored against the stock's trailing distribution, volume against its 30-day median, and streak length. "Up 60% in five sessions" means something different for a name that does this monthly than for one that never has; the score compares each stock to itself.
What the company's own SEC filings say about share supply and survival. The flags we read, directly from EDGAR:
Not every filing weighs the same: automatic shelfs from large established issuers (S-3ASR / F-3ASR) are routine (often for debt) and count only as a mild note, so a mega-cap's housekeeping paperwork doesn't read like a micro-cap's dilution machine.
Filings are also weighed by status, not just age. A shelf that the SEC has declared effective is live capacity and reads (and scores) heavier than one still awaiting effectiveness. A resale registration that went effective long ago has already done its dilution (those shares have been free to sell for months), so it demotes to a historical note, as does an unregistered-sales 8-K older than about nine months. The goal: the danger flags on a card are the machinery that can hit this rally, not a scrapbook of old paperwork.
Every flag carries its form type and filing date, and the underlying documents are public. We link them where the full breakdown is shown.
The final score blends the three legs plus an interaction term: the combination of hype and extension and live share-supply machinery is worth more than any one alone, because that combination is the anatomy of the classic pump: a crowd arriving late into a vertical chart while the paperwork to sell new shares into that strength sits ready. Severity bands: 75+ trap risk, 55+ elevated, 35+ caution, below 35 clear.
Every score is snapshotted the day it runs (ticker, score, date, price), and the record is published: on each ticker page, and in the Friday ledger email, wins and misses alike. We date-stamp on purpose so the calls can be checked by anyone, at any time.
It is not financial advice, not a prediction, and not a signal to buy, sell, or short anything. Flagged names sometimes keep running; clean names sometimes fall. The score describes the setup(derived from public SEC filings and market data at the stamped date), so you know what you're holding before you chase. Always do your own research.