One number, 0–100, answering one question: if this stock is being hyped, how much of the setup looks like a trap for whoever buys the hype? Higher means more trap risk. It is a risk read, not a prediction.
How fast the crowd is arriving, measured against the size of the crowd that was already there: message velocity per watcher on social feeds, how one-sided the sentiment is, and whether the name is trending. A stock everyone already owns being loud is normal; a tiny name suddenly getting hundreds of messages an hour is late-cycle attention.
How far and how fast the price has moved relative to its own history— multi-session return z-scored against the stock's trailing distribution, volume against its 30-day median, and streak length. "Up 60% in five sessions" means something different for a name that does this monthly than for one that never has; the score compares each stock to itself.
What the company's own SEC filings say about share supply and survival. The flags we read, directly from EDGAR:
Not every filing weighs the same: automatic shelfs from large established issuers (S-3ASR / F-3ASR) are routine — often for debt — and count only as a mild note, so a mega-cap's housekeeping paperwork doesn't read like a micro-cap's dilution machine.
Every flag carries its form type and filing date, and the underlying documents are public — we link them where the full breakdown is shown.
The final score blends the three legs plus an interaction term — the combination of hype and extension and live share-supply machinery is worth more than any one alone, because that combination is the anatomy of the classic pump: a crowd arriving late into a vertical chart while the paperwork to sell new shares into that strength sits ready. Severity bands: 75+ trap risk, 55+ elevated, 35+ caution, below 35 clear.
Every score is snapshotted the day it runs — ticker, score, date, price — and the record is published: on each ticker page, and in the Friday ledger email, wins and misses alike. We date-stamp on purpose so the calls can be checked by anyone, at any time.
It is not financial advice, not a prediction, and not a signal to buy, sell, or short anything. Flagged names sometimes keep running; clean names sometimes fall. The score describes the setup— derived from public SEC filings and market data at the stamped date — so you know what you're holding before you chase. Always do your own research.